Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance suggests Aryna Sabalenka holds a slight edge, winning 40.69% of points compared to Cori Gauff's 37.06% over the last six months.
• In terms of return game form, Cori Gauff appears stronger, with a success rate of 52.57% on second serve returns, surpassing Aryna Sabalenka's 46.52%.
• Who handles pressure better? Aryna Sabalenka saved 53.54% of breakpoints recently, whereas Cori Gauff saved 43.49%, giving an advantage to Sabalenka in tight moments.
• Overall match performance in the past year shows Aryna Sabalenka with an 82.43% win rate compared to Cori Gauff's 76.12%, providing a slight overall edge to Sabalenka.
• Aryna Sabalenka thrives on hard surfaces, with a winning percentage of 74%, while Cori Gauff excels on clay with an equal win rate of 74%.
• In high-level competition, Sabalenka has a match win rate of 78.38% at the Masters series, slightly higher than Gauff's 73.81%.
• Historical head-to-head results between Sabalenka and Gauff are nearly even with Sabalenka winning 5 times and Gauff winning 6 out of 11 encounters.
• In matches that go the distance, Gauff has a stronger track record, winning 4 out of 6 deciding set encounters against Sabalenka.
• Facing stronger opponents on average, Gauff has challenged players with an average rank of 39.43, compared to Sabalenka's 49.59.
• Gauff's stellar performance in deciding sets over the past year, winning 81%, could be crucial if this match extends to a third set.
• In tiebreakers, however, Sabalenka holds a slight advantage, winning 4 of 7 against Gauff.
• Event-specific performance can vary and should be considered once the tournament commences for a clearer prediction.

Editorial Prediction (November 4, 2025, UTC):

Aryna Sabalenka's proficiency on hard surfaces and her superior breakpoint-saving abilities under pressure give her a notable advantage in high-stakes situations. Her consistent performance over the last year suggests she is in peak form.

Nevertheless, Cori Gauff's exceptional ability to read her opponent's serves, especially the second, may disrupt Sabalenka's rhythm. Gauff's proven strength in deciding sets and her experience against higher-ranked opponents cannot be overlooked.

Given the detailed comparison of their recent performances, playing styles, and historical encounters, the upcoming match is set to be incredibly competitive. Yet, given Aryna Sabalenka's slight statistical edges and mental fortitude in tiebreakers, she is tipped as the likely winner of this match.